Sunday, February 28, 2010

China fracturing under party's iron grip 中共党奴朝频临崩溃

陈凯一语: Kai Chen's Words:

This is a very interesting and revealing article. The increasing awareness of illegitimacy of the communist regime by the Chinese intellectuals and officials will spell the doom of this criminal enterprise founded by murder and mayhem. --- Kai Chen

这是一篇有暴露性的、来自中共党奴朝的官方与知识界的警讯。 中共党奴朝的非法罪犯性质已被其政府官员与御用知识界所日渐察觉。 它的末日已不远了。 --- 陈凯

China fracturing under party's iron grip 中共党奴朝频临崩溃

John Garnaut
February 27, 2010 - 3:00AM

China's top expert on social unrest has warned that hardline security policies are taking the country to the brink of "revolutionary turmoil".

In contrast with the powerful, assertive and united China that is being projected to the outside world, Professor Yu Jianrong says his prediction of looming internal disaster reflects on-the-ground surveys and also the views of minister-level Chinese leaders.

He said deepening social fractures are caused by the Communist Party's obsession with preserving its own monopoly on power through "state violence" and "ideology", rather than justice.

Disaster could be averted only if "interest groups" - which he did not identify - were capable of making a rational compromise to subordinate themselves to the Chinese constitution, he said.

Some lawyers, economists and religious and civil society leaders have recently expressed similar views, but it is unusual for someone with Professor Yu's official standing to make such direct and detailed criticisms of core Communist Party policies.

Professor Yu is known as an outspoken insider, who advises top leaders and conducts surveys on social unrest as director of social issues research at the Institute of Rural Affairs at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

He has previously warned of the increasing costs of imposing ''rigid stability'' by force but has not previously been reported as speaking about such immediate dangers.

''Some in the so-called democracy movement regard Yu as an agent for the party, because he advises senior leaders on how to maintain their control," said Feng Chongyi, associate professor in China studies at the University of Technology, Sydney.

''I believe Yu is an independent scholar. This speech is very significant because it is the first time Yu has directly confronted the Hu-Wen leadership and said their policies have failed and will not work.''

Pointedly, Professor Yu took aim at the policy substance behind two of President Hu Jintao's trademark phrases: "bu zheteng" (stability, or ''don't rock the boat'') and "harmonious society".

Professor Yu's speech was delivered on December 26, the day after China's leadership shocked liberal intellectuals and international observers by sentencing rights activist Liu Xiaobo to 11 years' jail for helping to draft a manifesto for constitutional and democratic government in China, called Charter 08.

The verdict followed a tumultuous year when the party tightened controls over almost all spheres of China's burgeoning civil society, including the internet, media, legal profession, non-government organisations and business.

Professor Yu's speech has not previously been reported but the text and audio recording of it has recently emerged on Chinese websites.

Professor Yu cited statistics showing the number of recorded incidents of "mass unrest" grew from 8709 in 1993 to more than 90,000 in each of the past three years.

"Most importantly, the number of large-scale mass riots is growing," he said.

"More and more evidence shows that the situation is getting more and more tense, more and more serious.''

He said land disputes had replaced rural tax disputes as the most common source of unrest, while also citing a growing range and severity of urban worker disputes.

Mafia groups were increasingly involved in state-sponsored thuggery, he said, while disgruntled peasants were directing blame at provincial and even central level government.

"For seeking 'bu zheteng' we sacrifice reform and people's rights endowed by law … such stability will definitely bring great social disaster," he said.

"All stability aims for only one goal: the monopoly of power. We often say it's more open now, but that's thanks to science not government." Professor Yu's speech reflects deep disillusionment among China's liberal thinkers, who had hoped President Hu and Premier Wen Jiabao would implement political reforms.

Dr Feng, who is influential in China's liberal intellectual circles, said he still hoped the Hu-Wen administration would ''do something'' to leave more than a "dark stain" on China's political development before stepping down in 2012.

He said ''the conservative forces are currently very strong" and the country's security tightening and potential future loosening were linked to a leadership succession struggle between President Hu and his Vice-Premier, Li Keqiang, on one hand, and former president Jiang Zemin and current Vice-President Xi Jinping on the other.

''I haven't given up the hope that the Hu/Li camp may make some positive political changes to mobilise public support," said Dr Feng.

The current edition of the Southern Weekend newspaper broke a two-decade taboo by publishing a photograph of a youthful President Hu with his early mentor, former party chief Hu Yaobang, who was purged for his radical liberal and reformist leanings.

Chinese internet search results for the names of both leaders were yesterday blocked for "non-compliance with relevant laws".

A Beijing political watcher echoed Professor Yu's warnings and added that the crackdowns in information freedom were being led by officials who have the most to hide, which did not include President Hu or his closest allies.

"Corrupt officials have such a high and urgent interest in controlling the media and especially the internet," he said. "The more they feel that their days are numbered due to the internet and free information, the more ferocious and corrupt they become, in a really vicious circle leading to final collapse.''

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